Title:The relationship between financial inclusion and economic growth: the case of Azerbaijan
Serial number: 03/2023
Author(s): Zubeyda Imanova
Language: Azerbaijani
Date: 2023
Abstract: The World Bank has identified financial inclusion (FI) as a key driver of sustainable development. In developing countries with limited access to financial services, FI can serve as a powerful incentive for economic growth. This study investigates the relationship between FI and economic growth in Azerbaijan from 2010 to 2022, considering the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. A multi-dimensional financial inclusion index was constructed using the Principal Component Analysis (PCA) method to combine several variables. The short-run and long-run relationships between FI and economic growth were analyzed using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bound test and the Error Correction Model (ECM) approach. The results indicate a long-term cointegration relationship between economic growth and FI in Azerbaijan, with FI positively affecting real non-oil GDP per capita. These findings highlight the critical role of FI in enhancing economic activity and promoting sustainable economic growth.
Key words: financial inclusion, economic growth, principal component analysis (PCA), autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL), error detection model (ECM)
JEL classification: G21, O1, O11